So Carolina
W-L: (35- 4) PR = 99.1610Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 94-54 1107 A Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) **-47 1111 A Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 65-37 1115 A USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 69-52 1119 A Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) **-56 1123 A Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) **-49 1126 A Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 83-66 1127 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 64-66 1204 A Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 79-77 1207 A NC Center MEAC ( 9-20, 91.3) **-42 1214 A Penn St B10 (11-19, 95.5) 95-55 1218 A So Florida AME (20-12, 95.4) **-44 1220 A Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) **-43 1228 A Providence BE (14-19, 94.2) 96-55 101 A Alabama SEC A (24-11, 97.1) 83-57 104 A Florida SEC (18-15, 95.8) 74-63 108 A Arkansas SEC (12-20, 94.7) 93-58 111 A Georgia SEC (22-10, 96.8) 65-43 115 A Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 68-65 118 A Coppin St MEAC ( 9-23, 91.8) 90-48 122 H Oklahoma SEC O (26- 8, 97.8) 82-94 125 A Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) **-74 129 A Auburn SEC A (15-17, 95.6) 81-51 202 A Texas A&M SEC T (14-13, 96.3) 71-56 205 A Miss St SEC M (18-13, 96.0) 88-45 208 A Tennessee SEC (15-14, 96.6) 93-50 214 A LSU SEC (29- 6, 98.2) 79-72 219 A Alabama SEC A (24-11, 97.1) 76-57 222 A Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 85-48 226 A Missouri SEC M (17-17, 95.6) **-71 301 A Kentucky SEC (25-11, 97.3) 60-56 306 A Kentucky SEC (25-11, 97.3) 87-64 307 A LSU SEC (29- 6, 98.2) 83-77 308 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 61-78 321 A Southern SWAC S (18-14, 93.2) **-34 323 A USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) **-61 328 A Oklahoma SEC O (26- 8, 97.8) 94-68 403 A Connecticut BE (38- 1, 99.3) 62-48 405 A UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 51-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Grand Canyon 94-54 40 5 0.00
1107 A Bowling Grn **-47 67 5 0.00
1111 A Clemson 65-37 28 3 0.00
1115 A USC 69-52 17 2 0.00
1119 A Winthrop **-56 50 7 0.00
1123 A Queens Univ **-49 72 7 0.00
1126 A Duke 83-66 17 2 0.44
1127 H Texas 64-66 -2 0 - -2.08
1204 A Louisville 79-77 2 2 0.38
1207 A NC Center **-42 64 8 0.00
1214 A Penn St 95-55 40 4 0.00
1218 A So Florida **-44 59 4 0.00
1220 A Fl Gulf Co **-43 62 5 0.00
1228 A Providence 96-55 41 5 0.00
101 A Alabama 83-57 26 2 0.00
104 A Florida 74-63 11 3 0.00
108 A Arkansas 93-58 35 4 0.00
111 A Georgia 65-43 22 2 0.00
115 A Texas 68-65 3 0 1.94
118 A Coppin St 90-48 42 7 0.00
122 H Oklahoma 82-94 -12 1 - -3.42
125 A Vanderbilt **-74 29 1 0.90
129 A Auburn 81-51 30 4 0.00
202 A Texas A&M 71-56 15 3 0.00
205 A Miss St 88-45 43 3 0.00
208 A Tennessee 93-50 43 3 0.00
214 A LSU 79-72 7 1 1.04
219 A Alabama 76-57 19 2 0.00
222 A Ole Miss 85-48 37 2 0.00
226 A Missouri **-71 41 4 0.00
301 A Kentucky 60-56 4 2 0.14
306 A Kentucky 87-64 23 2 0.14
307 A LSU 83-77 6 1 1.04
308 H Texas 61-78 -17 0 - -2.08
321 A Southern **-34 69 6 0.00
323 A USC **-61 40 2 0.00
328 A Oklahoma 94-68 26 1 0.60
403 A Connecticut 62-48 14 0 + 2.19
405 A UCLA 51-79 -28 -1 -1.25
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1127 H Texas 64-66 -2 0 - -2.08 122 H Oklahoma 82-94 -12 1 - -3.42 308 H Texas 61-78 -17 0 - -2.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Connecticut 62-48 14 0 + 2.19 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 94-54 -5.77 5.19 0.01 0.78 8.09
3 A Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) **-47 -6.05 4.91 0.01 0.78 7.65
3 A Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 65-37 -3.82 7.14 0.01 0.78 11.13
3 A USC (18-14, 96.8) 69-52 -3.05 7.91 0.01 0.78 12.32
3 A Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) **-56 -7.69 3.27 0.01 0.78 5.10
3 A Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) **-49 -8.02 2.94 0.01 0.78 4.59
3 A Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 83-66 -2.30 8.66 0.01 0.78 13.49
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 64-66 -0.81 10.15 -0.01 0.78 -0.32
3 A Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 79-77 -2.37 8.59 0.01 0.78 13.38
3 A NC Center ( 9-20, 91.3) **-42 -8.56 2.40 0.01 0.78 3.75
3 A Penn St (11-19, 95.5) 95-55 -4.43 6.53 0.01 0.78 10.18
3 A So Florida (20-12, 95.4) **-44 -4.47 6.49 0.01 0.78 10.12
3 A Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) **-43 -6.10 4.86 0.01 0.78 7.58
3 A Providence (14-19, 94.2) 96-55 -5.67 5.29 0.01 0.78 8.25
3 A Alabama (24-11, 97.1) 83-57 -2.77 8.19 0.01 0.78 12.77
3 A Florida (18-15, 95.8) 74-63 -4.11 6.85 0.01 0.78 10.67
3 A Arkansas (12-20, 94.7) 93-58 -5.16 5.80 0.01 0.78 9.05
3 A Georgia (22-10, 96.8) 65-43 -3.13 7.83 0.01 0.78 12.21
3 A Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 68-65 -0.81 10.15 0.01 0.78 15.82
3 A Coppin St ( 9-23, 91.8) 90-48 -8.14 2.82 0.01 0.78 4.40
3 H Oklahoma (26- 8, 97.8) 82-94 -2.14 8.82 -0.01 0.78 -0.84
3 A Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) **-74 -1.85 9.11 0.01 0.78 14.20
3 A Auburn (15-17, 95.6) 81-51 -4.29 6.67 0.01 0.78 10.40
3 A Texas A&M (14-13, 96.3) 71-56 -3.58 7.38 0.01 0.78 11.51
3 A Miss St (18-13, 96.0) 88-45 -3.94 7.02 0.01 0.78 10.95
3 A Tennessee (15-14, 96.6) 93-50 -3.34 7.62 0.01 0.78 11.88
3 A LSU (29- 6, 98.2) 79-72 -1.71 9.25 0.01 0.78 14.41
3 A Alabama (24-11, 97.1) 76-57 -2.77 8.19 0.01 0.78 12.77
3 A Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 85-48 -2.82 8.14 0.01 0.78 12.68
3 A Missouri (17-17, 95.6) **-71 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.78 10.42
3 A Kentucky (25-11, 97.3) 60-56 -2.61 8.36 0.01 0.78 13.02
3 A Kentucky (25-11, 97.3) 87-64 -2.61 8.36 0.01 0.78 13.02
3 A LSU (29- 6, 98.2) 83-77 -1.71 9.25 0.01 0.78 14.41
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 61-78 -0.81 10.15 -0.01 0.78 -0.32
3 A Southern (18-14, 93.2) **-34 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.78 6.70
3 A USC (18-14, 96.8) **-61 -3.05 7.91 0.01 0.78 12.32
3 A Oklahoma (26- 8, 97.8) 94-68 -2.14 8.82 0.01 0.78 13.74
3 A Connecticut (38- 1, 99.3) 62-48 -0.55 10.41 0.01 0.78 16.21
3 A UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 51-79 -0.00 10.96 0.01 0.78 -0.00
------
377.69
|
winning pts = 379.1711 losing points = -1.4791
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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